Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.802464 0.937151 1.087243 1.266884 1.476063 1.711988 1.998359
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.574298 0.749175 0.966203 1.255291 1.630413 2.101007 2.736878
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.453064 0.639586 0.889524 1.248844 1.752476 2.433967 3.427805
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.378750 0.570127 0.843063 1.260536 1.883476 2.779779 4.170337
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.310537 0.494165 0.770557 1.216615 1.919230 2.985248 4.729977
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.286849 0.479631 0.784066 1.299408 2.151199 3.505946 5.831223
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.243943 0.426820 0.728593 1.262270 2.184127 3.714966 6.459372
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.208159 0.379849 0.674935 1.218371 2.196196 3.886125 7.040274
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.179712 0.341101 0.629251 1.180421 2.210750 4.059134 7.641409
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.164252 0.323503 0.618198 1.202331 2.334142 4.436980 8.659060
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.158033 0.322330 0.636819 1.281532 2.573747 5.055352 10.207053
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.147364 0.310788 0.633883 1.317904 2.733997 5.540800 11.556402
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.134111 0.292583 0.616311 1.324383 2.839084 5.938875 12.800311
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.120708 0.272208 0.591755 1.313306 2.907038 6.272005 13.958905
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.109400 0.254700 0.570749 1.306621 2.982802 6.629710 15.217050
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.100943 0.242335 0.559136 1.318854 3.101391 7.093344 16.771291
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.089283 0.220839 0.524214 1.272910 3.080894 7.245036 17.630490
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.087725 0.223266 0.544556 1.359517 3.382416 8.168097 20.431096
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.078506 0.205492 0.514759 1.320669 3.375929 8.367898 21.504201
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.069959 0.188194 0.483840 1.274747 3.345534 8.505732 22.440640
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.062708 0.173242 0.456809 1.235048 3.325532 8.666290 23.456497
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.059243 0.167939 0.453799 1.257968 3.472277 9.267349 25.711064
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.058709 0.170628 0.472120 1.340818 3.790843 10.354054 29.421195